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The median projection — 3,000 deaths a day, as soon as the end of this month — is quite horrific, a 50 percent increase above our current peak.
But for the lifetime of the model’s projections, no single day of data came anywhere close to as low as the median prediction.
That percentile, on June 1, yields a projection of more than 7,500 deaths every day.
For June 1, that projection is for 15,000 deaths every day.
If that rate held for a month, it would produce 750,000 deaths just in June. »