India China News: India’s military studying options for any China war on Taiwan

Authored by timesofindia.indiatimes.com and submitted by SolRon25

NEW DELHI: India is studying possible responses to a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan following discreet inquiries from the US on how the South Asian nation could contribute in the event of a war, according to senior Indian government officials.About six weeks ago, Chief of defense staff General Anil Chauhan — India’s top military commander — commissioned a study to examine the wider impact of any war over the island that also involves the US and its allies, and what action India could take in response, according to two senior Indian officials, who asked not to be named since discussions are private. The order came after the US raised the issue in several different forums, they said.The study will assess various war scenarios and provide options for India in case a conflict breaks out, they said. Some Indian military commanders believe that strong statements may suffice as a response in case the war is short, but ultimately that will not be enough if the conflict drags on like Russia’s war in Ukraine, the officials said.India’s preparation for a potential war over Taiwan shows how its policy of “multi-alignment” will be tested in the event of a drastic deterioration of US-China ties. Under Prime Minister Narendra Modi , India has forged its own path on international relations, effectively hedging its bets by developing close ties to the US while refusing to join international sanctions on Russia.Yet tensions with China have also flared along their disputed Himalayan border, contributing to a deterioration in relations that may have prompted President Xi Jinping to skip the Group of 20 summit this weekend in New Delhi. India has strengthened defense ties with the US in recent years, joining the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue along with Japan and Australia — a band of democracies intent on countering China’s growing influence.One option the Indian military will study involves serving as a logistics hub to provide repair and maintenance facilities for allied warships and aircraft, as well as food, fuel and medical equipment for armies resisting China, the officials said. A more extreme scenario, they added, would assess the potential for India to get directly involved along their northern border, opening a new theater of war for China.While no deadline has been set to complete the study, the Indian military is under orders to finish it as soon as possible, one of the officials said. The options prepared will be available for Modi and other political leaders to make a final call on any action should the need arise, the official said.The defense ministry and foreign ministry didn’t respond to emailed questions. The US state department didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.India and China have mobilized thousands of troops, artillery guns, tanks and missiles closer to the unmarked border running some 3,500 kilometers (2,200 miles), roughly the length of the US-Mexico boundary. Diplomatic talks have yielded little, with China last month releasing a new map claiming Arunachal Pradesh that external affairs minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar described as “absurd.”India has publicly resisted efforts to make the Quad appear like a military alliance, and remains reliant on Russia — China’s most important diplomatic partner — for weapons that would be used in any regional war. Even so, it has quietly sought better relations with Taiwan: Three former Indian military chiefs who stepped down in the past year all visited Taiwan last month.Five years ago, India and the US signed a Logistics-Exchange Memorandum of Agreement, a foundational pact to allow refueling and replenishing of warships and aircraft, as well as access to bases when required.

Pan-Iranic on September 9th, 2023 at 15:22 UTC »

In my humble opinion, the most likely scenario is:

QUAD: The USA, Australia, India and Japan probably become logistic hubs for assisting Taiwan, especially the latter two. The status quo is maintained on the Indo-Sino border but the situation automatically intensifies making both sides bolster their border. India will probably make a move on Pakistan-controlled Kashmir now that Pakistan is literally going bankrupt and is not in a political position to even consider using nukes. Neither the US nor China would accept Pakistan using nukes while they themselves are engaged in a cold war against one another. The US has always (overtly or covertly) sided with Pakistan against India but things are different now that the US needs India to contain China.

blah_bleh-bleh on September 9th, 2023 at 14:59 UTC »

I would see India keep on building pressure on the border while not declaring a war. Thus keeping chinese resources diverted. And also acting as a logistics hub for USA and allies. A direct war with China could also have Pakistan be involved thus leading to a two front war for India. Something we would avoid. They could push a little into border if opportunity found. But not full assault.

SolRon25 on September 9th, 2023 at 08:08 UTC »

SS: 6 weeks ago, India's defense chief commissioned a study to examine possible responses to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, following discreet inquiries from the US on how the South Asian giant could contribute in the event of a war that could also involve the US and its allies. While no deadline has been set to complete the study, the Indian military is under orders to finish it as soon as possible, one of the officials said. India's relations with China have deteriorated sharply since the border clash at Galwan in June 2020. India and China have mobilized thousands of troops, artillery guns, tanks and missiles closer to the unmarked border running some 3,500 kilometers (2,200 miles), roughly the length of the US-Mexico boundary. This downturn in ties has contributed to Xi skipping the G-20 summit in New Delhi this weekend.