U.S. rent has increased 175% faster than household income over past 20 years

Authored by phys.org and submitted by magenta_placenta
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"And lack of affordable rental housing," says University of Cincinnati researcher Mike Eriksen, Ph.D.

The West Shell Associate Professor of Real Estate from the Carl H. Lindner College of Business recently published a report entitled, "The Location of Affordable and Subsidized Rental Housing Across and Within the Largest Cities in the United States" with the Mortgage Bankers Association's Research Institute for Housing America.

Covering subsidies to employment and population growth in the top 50 American cities, the report starts to unpack the intertwined complexities that have contributed toward the general trend towards unaffordability in large metropolitan areas in the United States over the past 20 years.

"Across the largest 50 cities, median rent has increased 175% faster than household incomes," said Eriksen. "For low and middle income populations in these regions, housing is getting more expensive at a faster rate."

One subset of the issue Eriksen examines is subsidies—which make up $50 billion in annual federal expenditures. On average, one subsidy is available for three otherwise income eligible households, but that statistic changes drastically to one in nine eligible households in the fastest growing metro areas.

Looking at Cincinnati, Eriksen found the region to have the best of all worlds.

"With the expected spend on rent being 30% of household income, Cincinnati is actually the most affordable region in the country when you measure the dollar gap between median rent and expected housing spend of a moderate-income household," he said.

Unfortunately, Cincinnati also leads large cities in the percentage of renters considered low-income according to federal guidelines, Eriksen shared.

For Eriksen, this report scratches the surface on uncovering what equitable housing opportunities could mean—and look like in practice—in cities of any size growing at any rate in the United States. He says more research is needed to help untangle the knotty mess of housing inequality and understanding the economic obstacles for renters and first-time homebuyers alike.

More information: The report is available online: The report is available online: www.mba.org/news-research-and- … -for-housing-america

Books_and_Cleverness on March 27th, 2021 at 00:04 UTC »

If you're wondering why:

https://www.economist.com/leaders/2020/01/16/home-ownership-is-the-wests-biggest-economic-policy-mistake

TLDR: Governments make it extremely difficult to increase supply--e.g. on 95% of residential land in San Jose, it is illegal to build apartments. Not rocket science here.

Adding some additional points:

(1) Taxpayers are footing a giant portion of suburban bills, which is why the US has so many suburbs. If this were a natural market phenomenon, I would have way less of a problem with it--we'd just be talking pollution, traffic, vehicle deaths, normal objections like that.

(2) Tokyo moved to by-right permitting and rents there have stayed quite flat despite population increasing by 1.6m since 2000. (People think it's because Japan's population has declined but that is not true for Tokyo, where it's the opposite).

(3) Suburban development relying on government help is a problem in ~every country that uses it because it's so inefficient.

(4) The DoT also subsidizes suburbs which means we're basically transferring huge amounts of money to these local governments who artificially restrict supply to inflate their assets and make everyone else totally miserable.

endeend8 on March 26th, 2021 at 23:34 UTC »

Plenty of research on why this is - regulation, interest rate, low wages, inequality, zoning, etc. A better question is - are any policy makers, who matter, doing or planning to do anything to fix or remedy this?

JSmith666 on March 26th, 2021 at 21:48 UTC »

Is there any data on the factors causing this? Are there more people than there are residences making it a supply and demand thing? Are certain areas just becoming more and more popular?