At a conference Monday, Elon Musk said the first Mars settlers have a "good chance" of death.
Yes, settlers will die on Mars—hopefully after a long, satisfying life of exploration.
Earlier this week, Elon Musk said there’s a “good chance” settlers in the first Mars missions will die.
Then there are logistical reasons to talk about potential Mars settlers in, well, actuarial terms.
It follows, statistically, that there’s an almost certain “chance” these settlers will die on Mars, because their lives will continue there until they naturally end.
Musk is referring to accidental death in tough conditions, but people are likely to stay on Mars for the duration either way.
“Good chance you’ll die, it’s going to be tough going,” Musk said , “but it will be pretty glorious if it works out.”. »