Millennials earn 20% less than baby boomers did—despite being better educated

Authored by cnbc.com and submitted by Stormtrooper4u

Millennials are facing a shortfall compared to other generations when it comes to their paychecks. Overall, millennials earn 20% less than baby boomers did at the same stage of life, according to "The Emerging Millennial Wealth Gap," a recent report from the nonprofit, nonpartisan think tank New America. Specifically, median earnings for those 18 to 34 are lower than they were in the 1980s, a disparity that was first noted in a 2017 report from the non-profit Young Invincibles. And the flow of today's paychecks is less predictable due, in part, to the effects of the Great Recession and a rise in contract and freelance positions that may be less consistent in hours and pay. That's in spite of overall higher education levels. Nearly 40% of millennials 25 to 37 have at least a bachelor's degree, compared to just a quarter of baby boomers and 30% of Gen X when they were the same age, Pew Research Center found. These lower wages may lead to long-term problems for this generation, experts say.

Lower income levels are already having a long term impact on millennials' ability to accumulate wealth, either through savings or home equity. "Millennials are going to be on a completely lower trajectory than previous generations," says Reid Cramer, director of the Millennials Initiative at New America. The generational wealth gap has reached "historic proportions," Cramer says. The average millennial's wealth in 2016 (ages 23 to 38) was 41% less than those who were at a similar age in 1989, the report says. It's also true among young families. Households headed by someone under 35 in 2016 had an average net worth of $10,900, which is $8,000 less than it was in 1995. Part of that can be attributed to the Great Recession and its aftereffects. Those who entered the workforce following the recession had fewer job opportunities and lower wages, starting them off at a disadvantage. At the same time, many faced higher college tuition costs, leading to higher student loan and personal debt rates, the report finds. The recovery was not experienced by everyone, either. "Even as the economy steadily added back jobs lost, the protracted recovery was experienced unevenly, with well-off households doing better at the expense of others," Cramer writes. In 2016, the top 10% of the country's highest income earners received half of the total income generated in the U.S. That's up dramatically from the same segment of households receiving just 38% of the country's total income in 1992. Millennials held an average of $162,000 of assets compared to Gen X's average of $198,000 at the same age, according to the St. Louis Federal Reserve.

These income and wealth challenges have transcended into other trends for millennials, specifically with fewer in this generation getting married, buying homes and starting families, or experiencing delays in these life milestones. For example, marriage rates among millennials are estimated to drop by 70% and a record number will remain unmarried by age 40, according to the Urban Institute.

tokhar on December 7th, 2019 at 19:57 UTC »

I was annoyed by several of the author’s grammatical mistakes, and her essentially just rehashing of the source material (which she is kind enough to link). Several of the source articles are useful, but I personally didn’t get any added value of the author’s compilation of them.

The source data is also hard to compare, given how large a slice 18-35, or the 25-34 groupings are, and how much variability there is in early years. For example, someone getting a union job right out of trade school at 18 might be a master electrician at 20 and doing very well for themselves, while a graduating college senior might not yet have a job. The big delta in earnings comes later, as more college educated people end up in more senior positions, while trades and many union jobs plateau earlier. I didn’t see any direct comparisons by industry for smaller age slices, which would have been more useful.

Secondly (and anecdotally), it appears that many millennials eschewed trade schools and technical jobs (e.g. plumber, electrician, etc) for college. While that may yet pay off, it means more people entering the workforce in a difficult period, with more competition (a lot more people having average college degrees lowers their value on the market).

Since there are fewer union or manufacturing jobs to be had (the downside of having exported inflation and production to China), the safety net of just going out and getting a “regular “ job paying a living wage has shrunk. You can’t both have cheaper goods made in China and higher wages in the US.

Finally, millennials have different spending pattens than boomers did. It is now fairly necessary to pay for cell phone service, internet, music, etc. Those monthly subscriptions and cash outlays (say for a phone or laptop) can rapidly add up. I don’t have links on hand, but seeing how boomers spent their monthly income versus millennials does show striking differences (and not just because of student debt). Boomers also tended to get married sooner and have one spouse drop out of the workforce for a while to raise a family. Millennials are not doing this, meaning there are more people looking for work. More supply doesn’t help with wages, either.

All to say that this is a very complicated issue, with both economic and social factors. Some of the links provided in the article do lead to sources that are thinking of potential solutions, but I found the article itself rather biased, overly simplistic, and it didn’t really do much beyond rehash some of the broader facts.

Still an interesting read, thanks for posting it.

Further reading with more meat and less opinion:

https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R45090.pdf

https://www.naceweb.org/job-market/compensation/salary-trends-through-salary-survey-a-historical-perspective-on-starting-salaries-for-new-college-graduates/

https://www.marketingcharts.com/customer-centric/spending-trends-105985

And an old one, but worth looking T for how it analyzes the data. I don’t off-hand know of a more recent one.

https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/8a5b/87660f3d35491edd2c189530420f10310eef.pdf

Puzzleheaded_Match on December 7th, 2019 at 19:22 UTC »

Labor Bargaining power is a lot weaker than 30 or 40 years ago.