All California Republicans Are At Risk Of Losing Their House Seats Due To Trump’s Unpopularity: Report

Authored by politicaldig.com and submitted by gcbido
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Thanks to President Donald Trump’s extreme unpopularity, the blue wave that propelled Democrats to stunning electoral victories in 2017 is likely to become a full-blown Tsunami in 2818.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Democrats are looking at California’s 14 GOP House members as likely targets as part of their plan to take control of the House where they need to flip 24 seats.

With half of the GOP-held seats coming from districts that went for Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton, Democrats feel seats held by highly unpopular Republicans like Darrell Issa and Devin Nunes are ripe for the plucking as their Democratic challengers plan to hang Trump around their necks.

At issue is Trump’s dismantling of the Affordable Care Act, his position on climate change, his anti-immigration rhetoric and the recently signed GOP tax bill that will disproportionately hit California’s citizens who pay high mortgage interest rates and taxes that will be capped as deductions on their federal income tax returns starting in 2019.

As noted by The Journal, “The Cook Political Report rates eight of the 14 House districts Republicans hold as highly competitive this year, and calls three of them tossups, meaning Democrats’ chances of seizing them are roughly equal to the GOP’s chances of retaining them.”

“The biggest challenge for these suburban Republicans is more cultural than it is legislative. Voters are a lot more uncomfortable with Trump’s behavior than they are with his policy agenda,” the report explained, adding that immigration looms as “the biggest challenge for Republican incumbents.”

Trump predicted on Monday that 2018 will be a fantastic year. Well, it looks like the almost non-existent presence of Republicans representing the state of California in Congress will grow even smaller after the 2018 midterm elections, and that will be definitely fantastic.

election_info_bot on January 2nd, 2018 at 04:42 UTC »

California 2018 Election

Primary Election Registration Deadline: May 16, 2018

Primary Election: June 5, 2018

General Election Registration Deadline: October 22, 2018

General Election: November 6, 2018

espfusion on January 2nd, 2018 at 04:06 UTC »

David Valadao keeps winning his otherwise quite blue district with big margins, to the extent that some are wondering if Democrats should even bother challenging him anymore.

But this is really short sighted. In 2016 CA-21 had the lowest number of house general election voters in the entire country. Valadao apparently has a good campaign machine that has allowed him to dismantle his opponents. Yet in the end of the day he is representing a district that Trump lost by 15.5 points but he votes with Trump in perfect lockstep. The campaign ads write themselves.

So I hope the party takes this one very seriously.

parilmancy on January 2nd, 2018 at 03:00 UTC »

I would love to see most/all of them ousted, but I don't think there's a realistic chance for people like Nunes or McCarthy (and probably a few others), unfortunately.