The German military, the Bundeswehr, has warned in an internal strategy paper of the danger Russia poses to both Germany and Europe as a whole.
Source: the print edition of the German magazine Spiegel, as reported by European Pravda, citing the German Press Agency (dpa); Reuters
Details: According to Spiegel, security specialists and experts spent 18 months drafting the Bundeswehr policy document, which is intended to serve as the conceptual basis for its future policy direction.
The document warns that Russia is deliberately aligning its entire governmental and economic structure in preparation for a potential large-scale conflict with NATO, Spiegel reports.
The Bundeswehr document cited by Spiegel says the modernisation of the Russian Armed Forces is progressing rapidly and they could have 1.5 million soldiers by 2026.
The German military considers Russia an "existential risk" because the Kremlin is mobilising industry and power "specifically to meet the requirements for a large-scale conflict against NATO by the end of this decade," Reuters quotes the document as saying.
The document's authors recommend a significant expansion of both military capabilities and civilian infrastructure to support the defence of Germany and the Alliance, Spiegel reports.
An assessment by Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service (BND) and the Bundeswehr has concluded that Russia sees itself in a systemic confrontation with the West and is preparing for a major war with NATO.
The Bundestag has acknowledged that Russia could launch an attack on NATO within the next two to three years.
divinadottr on June 20th, 2025 at 19:20 UTC »
The timeline here is what's most concerning. 18 months to draft this assessment, Russian force buildup to 1.5 million by 2026, and German intelligence warning of potential NATO attack within 2-3 years. That's an extremely compressed timeframe for what they're describing as systemic preparation for large-scale conflict.
Germany calling this an "existential risk" rather than just a security concern shows how dramatically threat assessments have shifted. When you consider Germany's historical reluctance toward military expansion and their previous energy dependence on Russia, this represents a fundamental strategic realignment.
The part about Russia "mobilizing industry and power specifically to meet requirements for large-scale conflict against NATO" suggests this isn't just about Ukraine anymore; they're viewing this as preparation for a broader confrontation. If accurate, we're looking at a return to something resembling Cold War military postures, but with much shorter warning times than the decades-long buildup we saw before.
The question now is whether NATO's response timeline can match what Germany is describing as Russia's preparation timeline.
Salt_Respect7159 on June 20th, 2025 at 18:11 UTC »
Rheinmetall and KNDS better start pumping them tanks and armored vehicles!
scratchydaitchy on June 20th, 2025 at 17:22 UTC »
The Bundeswehr document cited by Spiegel says the modernisation of the Russian Armed Forces is progressing rapidly and they could have 1.5 million soldiers by 2026. The German military considers Russia an "existential risk" because the Kremlin is mobilising industry and power "specifically to meet the requirements for a large-scale conflict against NATO by the end of this decade”.
Better start building your bunker and stock it with canned fruits and vegetables.