• Trans Women (MTF) make up only 32% of the total transgender population. The rest are Trans Men, Non-binary, etc. (p.44) • Out of the Surveyed Trans Women, only 68% have already transitioned. The rest are either still questioning or planning on transitioning some day. (p.47) • 53% of trans women "sometimes or always" avoid public restrooms (p.228)
Let's assume that the trans women who have already transitioned but never avoid public restrooms are using women's restrooms on a regular basis.
1.4 million * 32% * 68% * 47% = ~143,181 trans women using the women's restrooms on a regular basis.
143,181 trans women / 4100 Senators = 34.9 times as many trans women regularly using the women's restrooms as there have ever been Senators
Let's also remember that "Trans woman committing sexual assault in a restroom" is also an incredibly rare crime. Let's highball the number and say that a dozen instances of this crime have occurred (I'd be surprised if it was even half that, though).
Also, to make things easier, I'm going to count all 12,415 people who have ever served in Congress including the House and the Senate, plus the 18 presidents who have never served in Congress. So 12,433 in total
Let's look at the Wikipedia list of Federal Political Sex Scandals. While not all political sex scandals were cases of sexual assault perse, let's assume that the amount of politicans who are serial offenders (Donald Trump for example) and the amount of unrecorded cases of federal politicians committing sexual assault makes up that.
92 according to this page. I know it's not a perfect number, but the true number would be impossible to obtain so this is the closest I think we can get.
12 highball estimate for bathroom sexual assault / 143,181 trans women =
A trans woman using the women's restroom on a regular basis has, at maximum, a 0.008381% chance of ever committing sexual assault in a women's restroom
92 federal political sex scandals / 12,433 federal politicians =
A Senator, House Member, or President has a 0.74% chance of having a federal political sex scandal, and we're assuming that the total amount of sex assault in this demographic is more or less the same as that number.
(Thinking about it, this might even be a low-ball estimate)
Meaning Members of Congress and Presidents are approx. 88 times more dangerous than trans women in restrooms."
ricky-from-scotland on April 6th, 2025 at 17:33 UTC »
Remember bro code etiquette and leave one urinal space between you and the next person
jillisonflook on April 6th, 2025 at 18:04 UTC »
Daily reminder that more republican congressmen have been arrested for sexual harassment in bathrooms than trans women
(credit: camila, u/human-03)
"Okay I'm going to do the actual math based on the 2015 US Trans Survey,
https://www.transequality.org/sites/default/files/docs/USTS-Full-Report-FINAL.PDF
• Trans Women (MTF) make up only 32% of the total transgender population. The rest are Trans Men, Non-binary, etc. (p.44) • Out of the Surveyed Trans Women, only 68% have already transitioned. The rest are either still questioning or planning on transitioning some day. (p.47) • 53% of trans women "sometimes or always" avoid public restrooms (p.228)
Let's assume that the trans women who have already transitioned but never avoid public restrooms are using women's restrooms on a regular basis.
1.4 million * 32% * 68% * 47% = ~143,181 trans women using the women's restrooms on a regular basis.
143,181 trans women / 4100 Senators = 34.9 times as many trans women regularly using the women's restrooms as there have ever been Senators
Let's also remember that "Trans woman committing sexual assault in a restroom" is also an incredibly rare crime. Let's highball the number and say that a dozen instances of this crime have occurred (I'd be surprised if it was even half that, though).
Also, to make things easier, I'm going to count all 12,415 people who have ever served in Congress including the House and the Senate, plus the 18 presidents who have never served in Congress. So 12,433 in total
Source: https://history.house.gov/Institution/Total-Members/Total-Members/#:\~:text=Since%20the%20U.S.%20Congress%20convened,with%20service%20in%20both%20chambers.
Let's look at the Wikipedia list of Federal Political Sex Scandals. While not all political sex scandals were cases of sexual assault perse, let's assume that the amount of politicans who are serial offenders (Donald Trump for example) and the amount of unrecorded cases of federal politicians committing sexual assault makes up that.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_federal_political_sex_scandals_in_the_United_States
92 according to this page. I know it's not a perfect number, but the true number would be impossible to obtain so this is the closest I think we can get.
12 highball estimate for bathroom sexual assault / 143,181 trans women =
A trans woman using the women's restroom on a regular basis has, at maximum, a 0.008381% chance of ever committing sexual assault in a women's restroom
92 federal political sex scandals / 12,433 federal politicians =
A Senator, House Member, or President has a 0.74% chance of having a federal political sex scandal, and we're assuming that the total amount of sex assault in this demographic is more or less the same as that number.
(Thinking about it, this might even be a low-ball estimate)
Meaning Members of Congress and Presidents are approx. 88 times more dangerous than trans women in restrooms."
jillisonflook on April 6th, 2025 at 19:27 UTC »
AUTHOR'S NOTE:
An assault in a men's bathroom in a public library broke seven bones in my skull.
Pilsen. Chicago. Ambulance. Emergency room. Unknown perpetrator. Random acts of violence and all that.
Punctuated equilibrium.
I'm not afraid of no one.
https://imgur.com/a/BnwpkRO
I already know.