The Daily Populous Monday April 7th, 2025 morning edition
Authored by cnn.com and submitted by ComplexWrangler1346

The tariff-induced market mayhem isn’t over just yet.

US stock futures plunged Sunday evening after two sessions of sell-offs that wiped away over $5.4 trillion in market value. Stocks were set to open sharply lower Monday, putting the S&P 500 on the precipice of a bear market — a decline of 20% from its peak and an ominous sign for investors and perhaps the broader economy.

Dow futures were down 1,250 points, or 3.3%. S&P 500 futures fell 3.7%, while Nasdaq futures tumbled 4.6%. Asian markets tanked: Japan’s Nikkei fell 8% at the open.

The price of US oil fell more than 3%, sinking below $60 a barrel for the first time since April 2021. Oil prices have been in a freefall as investors fear tariffs could plunge the global economy into a recession that would sap demand for flights, shipments, transportation and travel — all activities that require fuel.

Bitcoin joined the declines, too — falling 5.6% to $78,736.93. Bitcoin had surged above $100,000 shortly after Trump was elected in the hopes that he’d help boost support for cryptocurrencies.

The massive declines in futures follow the worst two-day stretch for stocks in five years – since the pandemic. The markets have rejected President Donald Trump’s massive tariff regime, some of which went into effect early Saturday morning and even larger tariffs are set to launch on Wednesday morning. China retaliated fiercely Friday, imposing a 34% tariff on all US goods, raising fears of an escalating and damaging trade war.

Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One Sunday evening that he didn’t intentionally crash markets but declined to predict how markets would trade in the future.

“What’s going to happen with the market? I can’t tell you,” Trump said. “But I can tell you, our country has gotten a lot stronger, and eventually it’ll be a country like no other.”

Market analysts said investors aren’t done selling yet.

“Last week’s brutal selling pressure is set to continue on Monday, as the market is telling us that investors still lack clarity on the implications of tariffs, tariff retaliation and are worried that economic growth is likely to slow to a complete stall or recession,” said James Demmert, chief investment officer at Main Street Research.

Tariffs go into effect. More are coming

A universal tariff went into effect Saturday after Trump signed an executive order earlier in the week requiring a baseline tax for all imports. The announcement sparked an outcry from America’s trading partners — allies and foes alike — along with American businesses, investors and consumers.

On Wednesday, America will impose significantly higher “reciprocal” tariffs on nearly 90 countries that have the highest trade imbalances with the United States.

Trump has also put in place tariffs on autos, steel and aluminum. He placed 25% tariffs on certain goods from Canada and Mexico.

And more tariffs could be on their way, too: Tariffs on auto parts are set to go into effect no later than May 3. And Trump has also threatened tariffs on lumber, pharmaceuticals, copper and microchips, among other products.

The Trump administration has offered inconsistent messaging about whether tariffs would be open to negotiation.

“The tariffs are coming. (Trump) announced it, and he wasn’t kidding. The tariffs are coming. Of course they are,” Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told CBS’s “Face the Nation” on Sunday.

But Trump said he has been fielding calls from tech executives and world leaders over the weekend on tariffs, saying that in those conversations: “They’re being very nice.”

“I’ve spoken to many countries. They all want to do just so you understand the power of what I’m doing. Every country is calling and being very solicitous, very, very nice and being very nice,” he added.

The president, who has long fashioned himself a deal maker, laid out what it would take to get to a deal with China on tariffs, saying in part that “they have to solve their surplus”

“I’m willing to deal with China, but they have to solve their surplus,” he said. “We have a tremendous deficit problem with China.”

The president also said he wants to solve the deficit with the European Union and if they’re open to that, he’s open to talking.

“I do want to solve the deficit problem we have in China, with the European Union and other nations, and they’re going to have to do that. And if they want to talk about that, I’m open to talking,” he said.

Recession fear has gripped Wall Street in recent days. JPMorgan analysts said last week that the tariffs would hike taxes on Americans by $660 billion a year — the largest tax increase (by a longshot) in recent memory. It will cause prices to surge, too, adding 2% to the Consumer Price Index, a measure of US inflation that has struggled to come back down to earth in recent years.

Video Ad Feedback JPMorgan executive says inflation and recession likely from tariffs 02:25 - Source: CNN JPMorgan executive says inflation and recession likely from tariffs 02:25

If Trump maintains the massive tariffs he announced Wednesday, his unprecedented trade policies will probably cause both the US and global economies to fall into a recession in 2025, JPMorgan analysts said. JPMorgan analysts on Thursday raised the risk of a recession to 60%, while Goldman Sachs last week raised its probability of a recession in the next 12 months to about 35%.

The Dow closed in correction territory Friday, down more than 10% from its record high in December — the first time the index has closed in correction in more than three years. The Nasdaq closed in a bear market for the first time since 2022, down more than 20% from its record high in December.

And the S&P 500 is on the precipice of a bear market. It has fallen 17.4% since setting an all-time high on February 19, and it is set to open Monday in bear market territory.

Investors did not appear to be calmed by the fact that Trump has been meeting with leaders of multiple countries, perhaps to strike deals that could lower the tariffs. Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday afternoon following a meeting that is set to include discussion of tariffs.

Markets have tumbled because the tariffs could raise prices significantly for American businesses and consumers. That’s because importers pay the tariffs, not the countries exporting the goods that Trump has been targeting.

Companies that import the goods typically pass along all or some of that cost to wholesalers, retailers and, ultimately, consumers. Although some retailers with strong supply chain controls may eat some of the cost, others will be unable to take such a hit.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday acknowledged that Trump’s tariffs, which were significantly more aggressive than the central bank had expected, would drive prices higher and slow down the economy. Powell said the Fed wasn’t in a rush to act but was monitoring the effect tariffs have on the economy.

The nonpartisan Tax Foundation said the average American household will pay $2,100 a year more for goods because of the significant universal and reciprocal tariffs Trump announced Wednesday. It said America’s average import tax will surge to 19% this year from 2.5% last year — the highest rate since the Smoot-Hawley era in 1933. Fitch Ratings said the rate would rise even higher, sending America’s effective tariff rate to its highest level in more than a century.

As a result, Americans’ after-tax incomes will decline 2.1% on average this year, the Tax Foundation said.

The good news, perhaps, is that the stock plunge has created some buying opportunities for investors. Stocks are trading at a historically cheap 15 times future earnings projections now. That could help markets rebound if investors believe stocks are oversold.

“We are getting close to a bottom,” said Demmert. “The fact that stocks have dropped so significantly in these deep intraday moves is a clear sign o﻿f indiscriminate and fear-based selling. When this happens, we tend to soon see significant rallies.”

This story has been updated with additional content.

G3tsPlastered4Alvng on April 7th, 2025 at 00:14 UTC »

Four years we listened to MAGA cry about inflation that they blamed on “Biden policies” instead of corporate greed and now we’re dealing with the stock market crashing and inflation as a direct result of Trumps tariff policies and they are fine with it.

This cult shit is old.

duckduck-a-go-go on April 6th, 2025 at 23:47 UTC »

Now is a great time to invest in torch and pitchfork manufacturers.

dan7315 on April 6th, 2025 at 22:55 UTC »

Crazy Donald has been president for less than three months and has already crashed the economy in a completely avoidable way. It's like he's speedrunning how to destroy America