The Daily Populous Thursday September 26th, 2024 night edition
Authored by the-japan-news.com and submitted by plz-let-me-in

REUTERS/Marco Bello, Jeenah Moon/File Photo/File Photo

U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, U.S. August 20, 2024 and former U.S. President Donald Trump in Bedminster, New Jersey, U.S., August 15, 2024 are seen in a combination of file photographs.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 U.S. presidential election, as she appeared to blunt Trump’s edge on the economy and jobs, a Reuters/Ipsos poll published on Tuesday found.

Harris had a lead of six percentage points based on unrounded figures – which showed her with support from 46.61% of registered voters while Trump was backed by 40.48%, according to the three-day poll that closed on Monday. The Democrat’s lead was slightly higher than her five-point advantage over Trump in a Sept 11-12 Reuters/Ipsos poll.

The latest poll had a margin of error of about four percentage points.

While national surveys including Reuters/Ipsos polls give important signals on the views of the electorate, the state-by-state results of the Electoral College determine the winner, with seven battleground states likely to be decisive.

Polls have shown Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in those battleground states, with many results within the polls’ margins of error. A recent New York Times/Siena College poll showed Trump with marginal leads in three of these states – Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina.

Asked which candidate had the better approach on the “economy, unemployment and jobs,” some 43% of voters responding to the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll picked Trump and 41% selected Harris. Trump’s two-point advantage on the topic compares to his three-point lead in an August Reuters/Ipsos poll and an 11 point lead over Harris in late July shortly after she launched her campaign.

Harris entered the race after President Joe Biden folded his reelection effort following a poor debate performance against Trump in June. Trump at the time was widely seen as the frontrunner, partly based on his perceived strength on the economy after several years of high inflation under the Biden administration.

Reuters/Ipsos polling between April and June also showed voters picked Trump over Biden on the economy, unemployment and jobs by between five and eight points.

Trump has still had wide leads in some measures of confidence in his economic stewardship. A Reuters/Ipsos poll from August asked voters which candidate had a better approach on the “the U.S. economy” – without specific reference to jobs or unemployment – and Trump led Harris by 11 points, 45% to 36%.

Both candidates are focusing campaign pledges on the economy, which the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll showed was the No. 1 issue for voters. Trump on Tuesday said he would create special manufacturing zones on federal lands. He has also promised to raise tariffs on imported goods.

Harris has pledged tax breaks for families with children as well as higher taxes for corporations. She is expected to unveil new economic proposals this week, even though some advisers acknowledge time is running out to convince voters with pitches on policy.

The polling average maintained by FiveThirtyEight.com shows a close race at the national level, with Harris leading Trump 48.3% to 45.8%.

The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,029 U.S. adults online, nationwide, including 871 registered voters. Among these, 785 were considered the most likely to turn out on Election Day. Among these likely voters, Harris led 50% to 44%, though similar to her lead among all registered voters, her advantage was only five points when using unrounded figures.

GratefuLdPhisH on September 25th, 2024 at 10:48 UTC »

Seriously who are these 40% of voters who think yeah trump would be good again as a president?

The man literally attempted a coup several different ways

newnewtonium on September 25th, 2024 at 10:38 UTC »

We must overwhelmingly let our voices be heard and our votes counted. The only way forward is to destroy Trump at the polls.

plz-let-me-in on September 25th, 2024 at 10:36 UTC »

Here is the Reuters article on their latest poll:

> Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump 47% to 40% in the race to win the Nov. 5 presidential election. Her lead was slightly higher than her five-point advantage over Trump in a Sept 11-12 Reuters/Ipsos poll.

> Among likely voters, Harris led 50% to 44%.

This is the largest national lead for Harris reported by Reuters/Ipsos and one of Harris's highest national leads in any poll, I believe. When you look at likely voters, Harris is leading by 6 points, 50% to 44%. Obviously this poll could be an outlier, but if she really is winning the national popular vote by 6 or 7 points, I don't see how she doesn't win the Electoral College and the presidency.