The Daily Populous Monday September 23rd, 2024 night edition
Authored by nj.com and submitted by njdotcom

Coming off what one pollster called the “best polling” of her short campaign, Vice President Kamala Harris kicks off a new week with another strong showing as she continues to surge ahead of Donald Trump.

An NBC News poll, which dropped Sunday, reveals Harris has coaxed a double-digit increase in popularity and rising voter enthusiasm that has rocketed her ahead of Trump nationally in the reshuffled the 2024 presidential contest, according to a new national NBC News poll.

Of course, the presidential race is decided by the Electoral College, which means that a handful of states is likely to decide the election.

With just over six weeks until Election Day, the poll finds Harris with a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49% to 44%. While that result is within the margin of error, it’s a clear shift from July’s poll, when Trump was ahead by 2 points before President Joe Biden’s exit.

Another 7% either pick another candidate, say they’re unsure or say they won’t vote.

But the transformation in the presidential contest goes well beyond the horse race. For starters, Harris’ favorability has jumped 16 points since July, the largest increase for any politician in NBC News polling since then-President George W. Bush’s standing surged after the 9/11 terrorist attacks.

Harris also holds the advantage over Trump on being seen as competent and effective, as well as on having the mental and physical health to be president — a reversal from Trump’s leads on those qualities when he was matched up against Biden.

And in a contest between a sitting vice president and an ex-president, featuring an electorate that overwhelmingly thinks the U.S. is “on the wrong track,” Harris has the upper hand on which candidate better represents change and which candidate can get the country headed in the right direction.

On Thursday, CNN data reporter Harry Enten discussed recent polling that has been released from Quinnipiac University, The New York Times, Franklin & Marshall and Marist College. He said on CNN that the polling shows the swing state of Pennsylvania leaning toward Harris as the two candidates compete for the must-win state.

Enten showed an aggregate of polling in the Great Lake battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that show Harris with a narrow lead in all three states. He said that Harris can get to 270 electoral votes if she wins those three states.

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snoopingforpooping on September 22nd, 2024 at 16:12 UTC »

Trump has spent the last four years doing nothing to broaden his appeal which is why he is stuck at 46-47%. The only way he wins is we don’t show up to vote!

SmashRus on September 22nd, 2024 at 15:54 UTC »

Let’s hope it’s a landslide for Harris, congress and senate.

Reddit_guard on September 22nd, 2024 at 15:49 UTC »

I won't be comfortable until she has this kind of lead consistently in the swing states. Still, a very encouraging result here