If Donald Trump loses Pennsylvania, he almost certainly will lose the presidential election. Now, all of a sudden, we have four new high-quality polls showing Kamala Harris ahead, though some others show it tied. Why the heck is Pennsylvania so close? What is really going on there? Should we believe the polls? Or not? We chatted with Democratic strategist Rebecca Katz, who is from Pennsylvania herself, worked on Senator John Fetterman’s victorious 2022 campaign, and knows something about winning there. Katz explained what Harris’s path to victory in the state looks like—and the looming obstacles that still keep her awake at night. Listen to this episode here.
ThatGuyFromTheM0vie on September 20th, 2024 at 13:56 UTC »
I find it much more interesting and telling that states like Texas and Florida are “lean red” now. Sure, Trump will probably still win both—but they aren’t Republican bastions anymore.
The fact Trump is winning by a +5 or +10 in states he used to win by like +20 really shows his grip loosening, and should help nearby states that are closer to flip.
And of course there is the moonshot scenario of Texas and/or Florida flipping, which could happen if people came out and voted. Both states have trash voter turnout, and studies show that when voting is up, it tends to be more blue. So if you’re in Texas or Florida…bring a friend. Bring 10 friends. You could lock the election with just either state.
And one final fun thought. If Texas or Florida turned blue…but especially Texas…the Republicans would likely never ever win again. What a lovely thought.
GrandMoffJenkins on September 20th, 2024 at 13:41 UTC »
Trump losing is not enough. ALL Republicans on the ballot must lose. ALL vestiges of Trumpism must be purged if the GOP is ever going to be recoverable.
NoReserve7293 on September 20th, 2024 at 13:26 UTC »
Vote blue, make it a landslide.