The Daily Populous Tuesday August 13rd, 2024 evening edition
Authored by newsweek.com and submitted by MoralClimber

Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Donald Trump by nine percentage points in a key battleground state, according to a new poll.

The survey, conducted by the Independent Center between August 8 and August 11, reveals that Harris received 51 percent of the vote among respondents in Wisconsin, compared to Trump's 42 percent in a head-to-head matchup.

Harris is also leading Trump by five percentage points in Michigan, securing 49 percent of the vote to the former president's 43 percent; and in Pennsylvania by 4 percentage points with 49 percent to Trump's 45 percent.

In Wisconsin, Harris maintains her 9 percentage point lead when third-party candidates are included, securing 49 percent of the vote to Trump's 40 percent.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has seen a decline in the polls since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race, secured only 3 percent of the vote.

In Michigan, Harris still leads Trump by 6 points when third party candidates were included, while she had a smaller lead of 4 points in Pennsylvania.

Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally in Philadelphia. Harris is leading Trump by 9 points in Wisconsin, according to a new poll. Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign rally in Philadelphia. Harris is leading Trump by 9 points in Wisconsin, according to a new poll. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

The poll surveyed 1,500 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.53 percentage points.

Read more Kamala Harris leads Trump in Prized Battleground State for first time Kamala Harris leads Trump in Prized Battleground State for first time

On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls, with the FiveThirtyEight aggregator showing she now has a 2.4-point lead over Trump in the latest average of national polls.

In seven battleground states—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—the polls are more volatile, with Harris leading in some and Trump leading in others.

In the latest poll by The New York Times and Siena College, conducted between August 5 and August 9, Harris had a four-point lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, a substantial shift from Biden's previous trajectory in the swing states. All three states flipped to the Democrat in 2020 after voting for Trump in 2016.

Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight's poll aggregator shows Trump leading in North Carolina in all but one poll, in which he and Harris are tied at 46 percent, while they are neck and neck in Georgia, on 45.7 percent each. Biden narrowly on Georgia in 2020, while Trump won North Carolina in 2016 and 2020.

A YouGov/CBS poll from August 2 also showed neither Trump nor Harris had a significant lead in any of the battleground states, with the two candidates in an overall deadlock.

Trump's campaign dismissed the CBS News/YouGov poll, accusing it of putting "a finger on the scale of polling to inflate results" for Harris.

Shortly after Biden left the race and endorsed Harris in July, Trump campaign pollster Tony Fabrizio predicted in a memo that there would be a "short term" bump in polls for Harris in the coming weeks as her entrance into the race was expected to re-energize Democrats, referring to the anticipated boost as a "Harris Honeymoon."

Dispatcher9 on August 13rd, 2024 at 09:30 UTC »

Say it with me, America.

Fuck Donald Trump.

Melicor on August 13rd, 2024 at 09:24 UTC »

I'm sure Trump is too busy planning his next campaign stop in the swing state of... Alabama. Stay tuned it's only 3 weeks away.

SlyClydesdale on August 13rd, 2024 at 09:15 UTC »

Outside the margin in all 3. But I’m curious to see new polling in NV (hard to poll), AZ, GA, and NC.