The Daily Populous Tuesday August 6th, 2024 night edition
Authored by nj.com and submitted by MotorizedDoucheCanoe

A new poll shows a different election after President Joe Biden bowed out of the race against former President Donald Trump.

Vice President Kamala Harris pulled off a 7-point swing in the race in a new University of Massachusetts Amherst poll compared to the last time the poll was conducted in January. It went from a 4-point lead for Trump over Biden to a 3-point lead for Harris over Trump.

It showed 43% of people surveyed plan to vote for Trump or are at least leaning toward voting for him — identical to the percentage that answered the question that way in January. On the Democratic side, 39% of people said in January they were planning or leaning on voting for Biden, but in the new poll 46% said they’re planning to or leaning toward voting for Harris.

Harris appeared to have energized Democrats in the early days of her candidacy, with the surge in warm feelings extending across multiple groups, including some key Democratic constituencies that had been especially tepid about Biden, polls have shown.

About 8 in 10 Democrats say they would be somewhat or very satisfied if Harris became the Democratic nominee for president, according to a July survey from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research, which was conducted after Biden withdrew from the race.

In a separate AP-NORC poll, taken before Biden dropped out but after his debate against Trump, only about 4 in 10 Democrats said they were somewhat or very satisfied that he was the Democratic Party’s likely nominee for president.

The rapidly changing views among Democrats in such a short time span underscore how swiftly the party — from rank-and-file voters to elected officials — has coalesced behind Harris as its standard-bearer, motivated by the fresh face at the top of the ticket and newfound confidence in the party’s prospects against Trump in November.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

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Matt Arco may be reached at marco@njadvancemedia.com. Follow him on Twitter at @MatthewArco.

JeanEtrineaux on August 5th, 2024 at 15:58 UTC »

So right now we’re firmly in the “Electoral College” anti-democracy danger zone.

If we keep improving we can make it up into the “SCOTUS/Jan 6 poll-workers” anti-democracy danger zone.

BalvedaVex on August 5th, 2024 at 15:37 UTC »

Idk about other states but here in Iowa, laws were changed shortly after Biden won regarding voter registration status. Here in Iowa, if you haven't renewed your registration or voted in the last 2 years your status is set to inactive and you can't vote until it's changed back. Highly advise checking with your states Secretary of State's office or website to check your voter status. Mine was good cause I got a new driver's license and updated my voter registration, my wife was inactive and had to renew hers online.

You should be able to fix this at the polls in November, but if you'd rather be safe than sorry, consult with your Secretary of State's office/website to check your status

TubeframeMR2 on August 5th, 2024 at 14:41 UTC »

I have a good feeling the trend will continue.

1.). In 2 weeks he went from leading to toss up / trailing

2.). He is massively losing the funding race

3.). He received no bump for the RNC, VP pick and assassination attempt

4.). He lost in 2020 and has done nothing to grow his base

5.). Biden was falling behind not because Trump was converting people to his side but rather they were deciding not to participate

6.) Harris mitigates the biggest concern over Biden

7.) Harris has VP boost, DNC boost yet to be baked in

8.) Trump acts like a cornered animal when he is behind so expect more bed shitting to come.

9.). He will be sentenced in September

10.). Jan 6 was really bad and his fingerprints are all over it

11.). Oh and he is weird