The Daily Populous Wednesday June 12nd, 2024 evening edition
Authored by newsweek.com and submitted by semaphore-1842

A Republican district in Ohio has shifted 20 points to the Democrats in the state's latest special election.

Republican state Senator Michael Rulli defeated Democrat Michael Kripchak to win the election held in eastern Ohio's 6th district on Tuesday to fill a vacancy left by Bill Johnson, who resigned in January after 13 years in Congress to become president of Youngstown State University.

However, while he won by some 10 percentage points, with 54.7 percent of the vote to Kripchak's 45.3 percent, the results mark a decline in GOP support in Ohio's 6th District compared to previous elections.

Johnson won his last four elections by more than 30 percentage points. Donald Trump, the former president and the presumptive Republican nominee for November's presidential election, won the former battleground state by eight points in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Newsweek contacted the Ohio Republican Party by email outside of normal business hours to comment on this story.

A poll worker checks in a voter on March 19, 2024, at the Noor Islamic Cultural Center in Columbus, Ohio. The Republicans won a special election in Ohio but with a slimmer margin than they... A poll worker checks in a voter on March 19, 2024, at the Noor Islamic Cultural Center in Columbus, Ohio. The Republicans won a special election in Ohio but with a slimmer margin than they had done previously. More Photo by Andrew Spear/Getty Images

Writing on X, formerly Twitter, political analyst Dave Wasserman attributed the close result to "abysmal" voter turnout.

Meanwhile, reacting to the result, Rulli said: "We knew the polls were going to be close, and the guy I ran against really worked. He's a really hard worker. But this is a blue-collar district, this is Bruce Springsteen, the forgotten man, 'Joe Bag of Donuts.' They don't trust the Democrats and Republicans, and they look at the individual. And I'm really good at retail politics."

Kripchak told the Associated Press that the results had "not diminished our spirit."

"Though historically a red district, our campaign outperformed expectations, proving the doubters wrong."

Despite the result showing a decline in GOP support, Rulli's election has increased the GOP's slim majority in the House of Representatives. The party will now hold 219 seats to the Democrat's 213.

According to polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, Trump is poised to win the state in the presidential election as he is at 46.1 percent compared to Democratic incumbent Joe Biden's 36.8 percent.

Rulli and Kripchack will face off again in November's elections to compete for the full two-year term that will begin in January.

Speaking to Newsweek, Todd Landman, a professor of political science at Nottingham University in the U.K., said the results showed "the November race might be tighter than expected."

He said: "The Ohio special election was somewhat unusual since the seat has been vacant for some time and Rulli will have to run again in November, so will he be in the House for a short period during which he will need to campaign. His election does increase the GOP hold on the House, but the advance of Democrats in Ohio means the November race may be tighter than expected in a strong Republican area."

"It is likely that turnout will be higher in November, so both parties will need to have strong campaigns, which will be affected by the Presidential campaign efforts in the wake of the convictions of Mr Trump and Hunter Biden."

Randy_Watson on June 12nd, 2024 at 11:12 UTC »

> Meanwhile, reacting to the result, Rulli said: "We knew the polls were going to be close, and the guy I ran against really worked. He's a really hard worker. But this is a blue-collar district, this is Bruce Springsteen, the forgotten man, 'Joe Bag of Donuts.' They don't trust the Democrats and Republicans, and they look at the individual. And I'm really good at retail politics."

Do these people actually listen to Springsteen’s lyrics?

Collegegirl119 on June 12nd, 2024 at 11:10 UTC »

I don’t think people understand, this is some of the reddest counties/district in Ohio and the USA period. 20 point shifts in those areas is a huge alarm for the GOP. You can’t extrapolate 1:1 from these small elections, but if results in November were anywhere close to this around the country, democrats would sweep handily. At the least, it continues to prove democrat over performance. You can’t keep denying these recent election results are not going well for Republicans.

semaphore-1842 on June 12nd, 2024 at 10:21 UTC »

It's a Trump+29 district, and the Democratic candidate, a waiter, only raised $25,000.

His Republican opponent was a state senator who raised $700,000.