At the Spy Museum in DC there's an interesting activity that attendees have the option of participating in. You sit at a table with a diorama of the UBL compound outside of Abbottabad, Pakistan. You are asked to roleplay the situation out in the hours leading up to the decision to send the Navy SEALs. Several people like the former CIA Director and the National Security Advisors who spoke with President Obama laid out the facts as they were known before the raid:
-This compound is exceptionally well guarded from the street -The person inside of the compound only comes out for walks, around a courtyard, at night -The compound has no visible utility connections to the city services, such as the exist, and it has a large number of TV satellite and radio communications antennas.
They told you, and the rest of the people participating, that there was no guarentee that Osama Bin Laden was inside and that it was just as likely that this compound belonged to someone with wealth who desired secrecy-- it could have belonged to a crime boss or a lesser Al-Qaeda commander than UBL. Given all of the facts and uncertainties the culmination of the activity was to make a percentage-based guess of how certain you were, roleplaying, that UBL was inside that compound and that the President should order the raid to proceed.
After the percentages of certainty of all the participants were revealed, along with your own, the people in this photo stated their own certain levels before the raid was ordered. The CIA chief says he was only 60% certain UBL was inside. The National Security Council chief said he was 80%. President Obama was said to only have a 50% certainty, but that the risk of letting UBL go was too high to err on the side of caution.
It was a very interesting activity for me, even if other people at the table were letting their knowledge of actual history get in the way-- multiple people at the table with me had 100% certainty UBL was in that compound, even after the video evidence and testimony we'd sat through for 10 min made it clear that the actual people involved were a long ways from 100%
ivedrownedppl4less on April 10th, 2024 at 15:16 UTC »
After this photo came out someone photoshopped a controller in Obama's hands and man that shit was funny
Ok-Nefariousness8612 on April 10th, 2024 at 16:23 UTC »
Them being able to watch it live is crazy
Fofolito on April 10th, 2024 at 16:25 UTC »
At the Spy Museum in DC there's an interesting activity that attendees have the option of participating in. You sit at a table with a diorama of the UBL compound outside of Abbottabad, Pakistan. You are asked to roleplay the situation out in the hours leading up to the decision to send the Navy SEALs. Several people like the former CIA Director and the National Security Advisors who spoke with President Obama laid out the facts as they were known before the raid:
-This compound is exceptionally well guarded from the street -The person inside of the compound only comes out for walks, around a courtyard, at night -The compound has no visible utility connections to the city services, such as the exist, and it has a large number of TV satellite and radio communications antennas.
They told you, and the rest of the people participating, that there was no guarentee that Osama Bin Laden was inside and that it was just as likely that this compound belonged to someone with wealth who desired secrecy-- it could have belonged to a crime boss or a lesser Al-Qaeda commander than UBL. Given all of the facts and uncertainties the culmination of the activity was to make a percentage-based guess of how certain you were, roleplaying, that UBL was inside that compound and that the President should order the raid to proceed.
After the percentages of certainty of all the participants were revealed, along with your own, the people in this photo stated their own certain levels before the raid was ordered. The CIA chief says he was only 60% certain UBL was inside. The National Security Council chief said he was 80%. President Obama was said to only have a 50% certainty, but that the risk of letting UBL go was too high to err on the side of caution.
It was a very interesting activity for me, even if other people at the table were letting their knowledge of actual history get in the way-- multiple people at the table with me had 100% certainty UBL was in that compound, even after the video evidence and testimony we'd sat through for 10 min made it clear that the actual people involved were a long ways from 100%