UK government considers preparing for scenario of unexpected collapse of Russian Federation – The Time

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According to internal assessments within the UK government, the UK should prepare for the scenario of an unexpected collapse of the Russian Federation so that such events do not take London by surprise.

Source: The Times, citing its sources, as reported by European Pravda.

Even from the beginning of the full-scale war, London assumed it could end in instability inside the country for Moscow. But the pace of events since Prigozhin announced his "march on Moscow" has prompted diplomats to quickly prepare a plan of action for various scenarios.

"We have to wait, watch and see what comes next. This could be Chapter One of something new," the source said.

John Glen, the Chief Secretary to the Treasury of the United Kingdom, said that the events in Russia are its "internal affairs."

The former UK defence attache in Moscow, John Foreman, said that Prigozhin's successful seizure of power would be the "worst-case scenario", and there should be no illusions that he is supposedly a more liberal, peace-minded democrat because "he’s a fascist".

Foreman suggested that the pace of events on Friday and Saturday caught Western diplomats by surprise.

"Our assessment was that this was going to be gradual. It wasn’t going to be a sudden march on Moscow," he said.

Lord Richard of Herstmonceux, the former chief of the defence staff, expressed the opinion that Putin, despite the impact of the rebellion on his authority, is still a dangerous opponent and the West risks underestimating Russia.

Sir Roderic Lyne, a former UK ambassador to Russia, expressed that after the uprising, Putin's chances of remaining ruler of Russia for life are already less, but "right now he is still in charge."

Previously: The president of Lithuania has said that NATO would need to strengthen its eastern border if Prigozhin and Wagner end up in Belarus.

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512165381 on June 26th, 2023 at 12:29 UTC »

Russian, and former world chess champion, Garry Kasparov, agrees:

"Putin was right by invoking 1917 [in his TV address on June 24]. This is clearly a 1917 situation. The war is not over but it did not go well. You have had hundreds of thousands of [Russian men] recruited, without a clear understanding of what they are doing - why are they are paying such a high price - why they have been taken away from their families."

"Prigozhin showed that the entire Putin Regime is just a Hollywood decoration: Where is [Chairman of the Russian Senate] Matvienko? Where is [Prime Minister] Mustian? Where are all the Ministers? Prigozhin has demonstrated that the whole system is rotten. It is a vacuum of power. You just need one push to demonstrate that."

"Yesterday, when the [Russian Army] generals showed up to condemn Prigozhin - I spoke to my friends, 'Look it is not about generals. Of course, generals will condemn Prigozhin as they are beneficiaries of Putin's mafia system.' Rather, it is what the [normal guys] will do. And we got an answer this morning: They are changing sides."

"The fall of Putin is inevitable. He has lost his aura of invincibility and as a supreme leader."

Oerthling on June 26th, 2023 at 10:40 UTC »

"unexpected"?

Russia becoming an EU member would be an unexpected surprise.

Russia revealing that it had a moon base for 20 years would be totally unexpected.

Russia falling apart should be "Get me the Russian Federation Dissolution Strategy files".

J4MES101 on June 26th, 2023 at 10:21 UTC »

I don’t believe that governments around the world have not already considered this in massive detail