Kyrylo Budanov, Chief of Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence, believes that Russia will not launch a nuclear attack when Ukrainian defenders enter occupied Crimea.
Source: Budanov in an interview with RBC-Ukraine
Details: Asked whether there will be a nuclear strike if the Armed Forces of Ukraine enter Crimea, Budanov answered, "There will not be."
In his opinion, Russian propaganda will present the loss of Crimea as a "forced measure", just like during the liberation of Kherson.
Quote: "It is painful to admit, but it must be said: during the loss of Kherson, their [Russian – ed.] propaganda machine showed itself as effectively as possible. They presented the loss of Kherson – the greatest achievement of the so-called ‘special military operation’ – simply as an everyday matter. Moreover, they turned it around in such a way that this was even a good thing for them.
In other words, they have already worked it all out. Ways to cover the news during the events in Crimea – they all exist already; they are well known to us. Believe me, they will work for their society.
And it will be a forced measure and almost good fortune. Believe me, the propaganda machine there works like a standard; it really is the standard. They make fools of their population in a way that no one else in the world can."
In September, Kyrylo Budanov, Chief of Defence Intelligence of Ukraine, claimed that Ukraine was going to come back to occupied Crimea; it would happen militarily and soon enough. Budanov added that the liberation of Crimea would happen "not in the summer, but by the end of spring, perhaps even a little earlier" .
. At the same time, in December, Budanov said that Ukraine would regain temporarily occupied Crimea in a combined way, both by force and diplomacy.
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Western_Cow_3914 on April 24th, 2023 at 15:08 UTC »
I mean everyone knows nukes are unacceptable to all the other world powers. Russia would quite literally be abandoned by everybody except North Korea. In fact they’d likely be sanctioned by China as well, and being sanctioned by both China and the U.S at the same time is game over.
Euclid_Interloper on April 24th, 2023 at 12:17 UTC »
A nuclear attack is such a big Red Herring. The absolute BEST outcome for Russia after a nuclear attack is that NATO enters the war and forces Russia out of Ukraine with its tail between its legs. Worst case scenario is global nuclear winter.
There’s no win for Russia in this. Other than maybe being able to claim they lost to NATO rather than Ukraine.
Kayback2 on April 24th, 2023 at 12:13 UTC »
A nuclear strike will prove the "limited military operation" a complete lie.
I mean we all know it is anyway, but how badly do you have to screw up to need to use nukes a year into your 3 day operation.