[OC] Looking at total deaths by ANY cause, the USA is more than 250,000 deaths over budget for 2020. This graph shows how many deaths have happened more or less than expected each week since 2017.

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image showing [OC] Looking at total deaths by ANY cause, the USA is more than 250,000 deaths over budget for 2020. This graph shows how many deaths have happened more or less than expected each week since 2017.

soodesne on September 21st, 2020 at 02:42 UTC »

Could you add a line of running total on a secondary axis?

If possible a version of graph only for 2020 with expected numbers as a line would give more readibility - right now it's pushed to right.

tadhgcube on September 21st, 2020 at 03:37 UTC »

Very interesting how one January is way over, and the next is way under... Any thoughts?

FoxPowers on September 21st, 2020 at 04:03 UTC »

Im curious, CDC does provide a statistical measure of excess deaths, controlling for population among other things.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

while I applaud the initiative, I would suggest the CDC threshold is a bit more robust than a simple trailing average comparison.

FWIW, your not far off the mark, CDC estimates 201,917 - 262,877 excess deaths in the US since February.

28,567 - 85,051 of them are considered to be due to causes other than covid. (primarily circulatory desease and Alzheimer's/dementia; if anyone can explain the uptick in nuerological deaths, Id be very interested, I understand untreated heart problems, I dont understand how a mostly untreatable neurological disorder spikes in a matter of months)