No10 'believes there is 30 to 40 per cent chance of Brexit trade deal'

Authored by dailymail.co.uk and submitted by wordsmith6780

Downing Street believes the UK has a one in three chance of striking a comprehensive free trade deal with the European Union by the end of the year, it was claimed today.

Talks on Britain's post-Brexit relationship with Brussels remain in a state of deadlock, with both sides increasingly frustrated at the lack of progress.

Senior Number 10 figures currently estimate there is a 30 to 40 per cent chance of a deal being done before the end of the transition period, according to The Times.

The Prime Minister's deputy official spokesman would not be drawn on the percentage claim but said 'our goal remains to reach an agreement and we will continue to work hard to do that'.

However, the spokesman added: 'But we have been clear there is lots of work still to be done. We need more realism from the EU and for them to show that they understand the fundamentals of our position as an independent country.'

Boris Johnson today insisted that the UK will 'prosper mightily' even if it does not strike a trade deal with the EU.

He said: 'It’s vital that our partners understand that the UK is going to do what we need to do.

'If we need to have an Australia-style deal, an Australia-style solution [no deal], then that is what we will achieve and we will prosper mightily one way or the other.'

It came as eight logistics firms warned that Britain could face 'severe' disruption to supply chains next year unless Brexit border preparations are stepped up.

Leading companies and lobby groups told how there were 'significant gaps' in the preparations for managing the borders from January if there no trade deal can be agreed with the bloc.

The claims were made by organisations including the Road Haulage Association in an open letter to Cabinet Office Minister Michael Gove and Chancellor Rishi Sunak.

Freight lorries queue to leave the Port of Dover in Kent after arriving by ferry on March 31

Freight lorries queue to leave Dover to deliver goods across the UK in lockdown on March 31

They requested a meeting about technological and infrastructure concerns, according to a copy of the letter seen by the Financial Times.

The letter said: 'Our concern is so strong that we have collectively agreed to request an urgent roundtable meeting with yourself, the chancellor of the exchequer and secretary of state for transport [Grant Shapps].'

'We are asking you to take seriously our concerns and listen to the detail during this roundtable so that we can collectively help government manage through this enormous challenge.'

RHA boss Richard Burnett said: 'It is patently clear that, on the political front at least, there is a complete lack of appreciation of the enormity of, in effect, constructing a new supply chain after 50 years of completely free trade with the EU.'

It came as a new report claimed secrecy about the Government's Brexit negotiating objectives had hindered preparations for the UK's split from the bloc.

The efforts also took a heavy toll on the Civil Service with a high turnover among senior staff, according to the study by the National Audit Office (NAO).

It found there were more than 22,000 workers deployed across Whitehall departments on the preparations for Brexit which have cost £4.4billion.

The study aimed to examine the lessons to be learned from the Government's attempts to ready the country for Brexit following the 2016 EU referendum result.

Liberal Democrat Brexit spokesman Christine Jardine said the NAO report was evidence the Tories had made a 'dog's dinner' of Britain's divorce from Europe.

'How Boris Johnson ever thought he could get a deal by the end of July with the chaos behind the scenes in Whitehall is beyond me,' Ms Jardine said.

Meg Hillier, the Labour chair of the Public Accounts Committee, said the Government had taken 'took too long to get to grips with the challenge it was facing' and had failed to appreciate the 'risks of working at such a fast pace'.

Lorries queue on the A20 in Kent as ferry services at Dover are hit by storms on January 14

'It didn't collect enough information about the people and money it was committing to Brexit preparations, and couldn't assess whether it was striking the right balance between its priorities,' she said.

'It must not make these mistakes again when weighing up how best to allocate resources between the pandemic response, Brexit and its other priorities.'

An eighth round of formal Brexit trade talks between the UK and the EU is scheduled to take place in London next week.

But there is little hope of a significant breakthrough despite the fact both sides have said they want a deal done by the end of next month at the latest.

The main sticking points are fishing rights, a demand from the EU for the UK to adhere to rules made in Brussels long into the future and state aid.

The EU wants these issues to be resolved before it agrees to move onto other areas, a position which has left UK negotiators exasperated.

Number 10 has ruled out extending the transition period and has said the UK will split from the EU without a deal in place at the end of the year if the two sides cannot strike an accord.

MegaYachtie on September 4th, 2020 at 15:50 UTC »

I have some relatives that retired to the south of France. They voted to leave the EU.

I just don’t get it.

Frank_The_Hyena on September 4th, 2020 at 13:59 UTC »

Leavers only have one thing left: their victory. They won. They beat us.

They don't care what they won, just that they won.

They will be poorer, but they won.

They don't really know what they truly voted for or, importantly, against, but they won.

They won't care that this will make a tiny minority of disaster capitalists very rich because they won.

They won't care that the NHS gets sold to American health insurers because they won.

When they're in a ditch with their face in the dirt, they will say it's okay because they won.

That's all they have: they won. Once.

AlunWH on September 4th, 2020 at 13:07 UTC »

To help those of us out who refuse to click on Daily Mail links, any chance of someone copying and pasting the article?