From a Distance: Geographic Proximity, Partisanship, and Public Attitudes toward the U.S.–Mexico Border Wall

Authored by journals.sagepub.com and submitted by smurfyjenkins

The wall along the U.S.–Mexico border has become one of the most controversial issues in the immigration debate. Although the American public is often aligned with partisan predispositions, often ignored is the role that geographic distance to the border plays in forming attitudes. This paper explores the role of proximity, partisanship, and their interaction as determinants of public attitudes toward the border wall. This paper argues that geographic distance has two effects on public attitudes: as a catalyst for direct contact and as a dynamic filter that shapes how people process information and understand a particular place or policy. Using geocoded survey data from 2017, this paper shows that as the distance to the U.S.–Mexico border increases, Republicans are more likely to support building a wall along the entire border with Mexico due to a lack of direct contact, supplanting direct information with partisan beliefs.

Adams, John A. 2008 . Conflict and Commerce on the Rio Grande: Laredo, 1755-1955. College Station : Texas A&M University Press .

Adamson, Fiona B. 2006 . “ Crossing Borders: International Migration and National Security .” International Security 1:165–99.

Allen, Vernon L., Wilder, David A. 1975 . “ Categorization, Belief Similarity and Intergroup Discrimination .” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 32 (6): 971–77.

Allport, Gordon W. 1954 . The Nature of Prejudice. Cambridge : Perseus Books .

Alvarez, Robert R. 1995 . “ The Mexican-U.S. Border: The Making of an Anthropology of Borderlands .” Annual Review of Anthropology 24:447–70.

Anderson, James, O’Dowd, Liam. 1999 . “ Borders, Border Regions and Territoriality: Contradictory Meanings, Changing Significance .” Regional Studies 33 (7): 593 – 604 .

Andreas, Peter . 2009 . Border Games: Policing the U.S.-Mexico Divide. 2nd ed. Ithaca, NY : Cornell University Press .

Ansolabehere, Stephen, Konisky, David M. 2009 . “ Public Attitudes toward Construction of New Power Plants .” Public Opinion Quarterly 73 (3): 566–77.

Arzheimer, Kai, Evans, Jocelyn. 2012 . “ Geolocation and Voting: Candidate-Voter Distance Effects on Party Choice in the 2010 UK General Election in England .” Political Geography 31:301–10.

Axelrod, Robert . 1984 . The Evolution of Cooperation. New York : Basic Books .

Barrera-Gómez, Jose, Basagaña, Xavier. 2015 . “ Models with Transformed Variables: Interpretation and Software .” Epidemiology 26 (2): e16 – 17 .

Bartels, Larry M. 2002 . “ Beyond the Running Tally: Partisan Bias in Political Perceptions .” Political Behavior 24 (2): 117–50. doi:10.1023/A:1021226224601.

Baybeck, Brady . 2006 . “ Sorting out the Competing Effects of Racial Context .” The Journal of Politics 68 (2): 386–96.

Berdahl, Daphne . 1999 . Where the World Ended: Re-unification and Identity in the German Borderland. Berkeley : University of California Press .

Bishop, Bradford H. 2013 . “ Drought and Environmental Opinion: A Study of Attitudes toward Water Policy .” Public Opinion Quarterly 77 (3): 798 – 810 .

Bolsen, Toby, Druckman, James N., Cook, Fay Lomax. 2014 . “ The Influence of Partisan Motivated Reasoning on Public Opinion .” Political Behavior 36:235–62. doi:10.2307/43653189.

Boscoe, Francis P., Henry, Kevin A., Zdeb, Michael S. 2012 . “ A Nationwide Comparison of Driving Distance versus Straight-Line Distance to Hospitals .” The Professional Geographer 64 (2): 188 – 196 .

Brambor, Thomas, Clark, William R., Golder, Matt. 2006 . “ Understanding Interaction Models: Improving Empirical Analyses .” Political Analysis 14 (1): 63 – 82 .

Branton, Regina P., Dillingham, Gavin, Dunaway, Johanna, Miller, Beth. 2007 . “ Anglo Voting on Nativist Ballot Initiatives: The Partisan Impact of Spatial Proximity to the U.S.-Mexico Border .” Social Science Quarterly 88 (3): 882–97.

Branton, Regina P., Dunaway, Johanna. 2009 . “ Spatial Proximity to the U.S.- Mexico Border and Newspaper Coverage of Immigration Issues .” Political Research Quarterly 62: 289 – 302 .

Brewer, Marilynn B., Miller, Norman. 1984 . “ Beyond the Contact Hypothesis: Theoretical Perspectives on Desegregation .” In Groups in Contact: The Psychology of Desegregation, edited by Brewer, Norman Miller and Marilynn B. Orlando : Academic Press .

Cairncross, Frances . 2001 . The Death of Distance: How the Communications Revolution Is Changing Our Lives. Boston : Harvard Business School Press .

Campbell, Angus, Converse, Philip E., Miller, Warren E., Stokes, Donald E. 1960 . The American Voter. Chicago : Chicago University Press .

Cattaneo, Matias D. 2010 . “ Efficient Semiparametric Estimation of Multi-Valued Treatment Effects under Ignorability .” Journal of Econometrics 155 (2): 138–54. doi:10.1016/J.JECONOM.2009.09.023.

Cho, Wendy, Tam, K. 2003 . “ Contagion Effects and Ethnic Contribution Networks .” American Journal of Political Science 47 (2): 368–87.

Cho, Wendy K., Tam, Nicley, Erinn P. 2008 . “ Geographic Proximity versus Institutions .” American Politics Research 36:803–23.

Citrin, Jack, Green, Donald P., Muste, Christopher, Wong, Cara. 1997 . “ Public Opinion toward Immigration Reform: The Role of Economic Motivations on JSTOR .” The Journal of Politics 59 (3): 858–81.

Clarke, Christopher E., Bugden, Dylan, Hart, P. Sol, Stedman, Richard C., Jacquet, Jeffrey B., Evensen, Darrick T. N., Boudet, Hilary S. 2016 . “ How Geographic Distance and Political Ideology Interact to Influence Public Perception of Unconventional Oil/Natural Gas Development .” Energy Policy 97:301–09.

Dear, Michael . 1992 . “ Understanding and Overcoming the NIMBY Syndrome .” Journal of the American Planning Association 58 (3): 288 – 300 .

Dennis, Jack . 1992 . “ Political Independence in America, III: In Search of Closet Partisans .” Political Behavior 14 (3): 261–96. http://www.jstor.org/stable/586230.

Diener, Alexander, Hagen, Joshua. 2010 . Borderlines and Borderlands: Political Oddities at the Edge of the Nation-State. Lanham : Rowman & Littlefield .

Druckman, James N. 2001 . “ Using Credible Advice to Overcome Framing Effects .” The Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization 17 (1): 62 – 82 . doi:10.1093/jleo/17.1.62.

Easy Analytic Software . 2017 . “ EASI Crime Index .” https://www.easidemographics.com/

Edmonston, Barry, Lee, Ronald, eds. 1996 . Local Fiscal Effects of Illegal Immigration. Washington, DC : The National Academies Press .

Enos, Ryan D. 2017 . The Space between Us. Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .

Espenshade, Thomas J. 1995 . “ Unauthorized Immigration to the United States .” Annual Review of Sociology 21: 195 – 216 .

Espenshade, Thomas J., Calhoun, Charles A. 1993 . “ An Analysis of Public Opinion toward Undocumented Immigration .” Population Research and Policy Review 12: 189 – 224 .

Espenshade, Thomas J., Hempstead, Katherine. 1996 . “ Contemporary American Attitudes toward U.S. Immigration .” International Migration Review 30 (2): 535–70.

Espenshade, Thomas J., Huber, Gregory A. 1999 . “ Fiscal Impacts of Immigrants and the Shrinking Welfare State .” In The Handbook of International Migration: The American Experience, edited by Hirschman, Charles, Kasinitz, Philip, DeWind, Josh, 360–70. New York : Russell Sage Foundation .

Feldman, Stanley, Conover, Pamela Johnston. 1983 . “ Candidates, Issues and Voters: The Role of Inference in Political Perception .” The Journal of Politics 45 (4): 810–39. doi:10.2307/2130414.

Finklea, Kristin M. 2013 . “ Southwest Border Violence: Issues in Identifying and Measuring Spillover Violence .” https://fas.org/sgp/crs/homesec/R41075.pdf.

Fiske, Susan T., Taylor, Shelley E. 2017 . Social Cognition. 3rd ed. London : SAGE .

Fix, Michael, Passel, Jeffrey S. 1994 . Immigration and Immigrants: Setting the Record Straight. Washington, DC : Urban Institute Press .

Fujita, Kentaro, Henderson, Marlone D., Eng, Juliana, Trope, Yaacov, Liberman, Nira. 2006 . “ Spatial Distance and Mental Construal of Social Events .” Psychological Science 17 (4): 278–82.

Ganster, Paul, Lorey, David E. 2008 . The U.S.-Mexican Border into the Twenty-First Century. Lanham : Rowman & Littlefield .

Gelman, Andrew, Hill, Jennifer. 2007 . Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. New York : Cambridge University Press .

Gerber, Alan, Green, Donald. 1999 . “ Misperceptions about Perceptual Bias .” Annual Review of Political Science 2: 189 – 210 .

Gimpel, James G., Karnes, Kimberly A., McTague, John, Pearson-Merkowitz, Shanna. 2008 . “ Distance-Decay in the Political Geography of Friends-and-Neighbors Voting .” Political Geography 27:231–52.

Giuliani, Maria Vittoria . 2003 . “ Theory of Attachment and Place Attachment .” In Psychological Theories for Environmental Issues, edited by Bonnes, Mirilia, Lee, Terence, Bonaiuto, Mario, 137–70.

Gravelle, Timothy B. 2016 . “ Party Identification, Contact, Contexts, and Public Attitudes toward Illegal Immigration .” Public Opinion Quarterly 80: 1 – 25 .

Gravelle, Timothy B. 2018 . “ Politics, Time, Space, and Attitudes toward US–Mexico Border Security .” Political Geography 65:107–16.

Green, Donald, Palmquist, Bradley, Schickler, Eric. 2002 . Partisan Hearts and Mind: Political Parties and the Social Identities of Voters. New Haven : Yale University Press .

Greene, Steven . 2000 . “ The Psychological Sources of Partisan-Leaning Independence .” American Politics Quarterly 28 (4): 511–37. doi:10.1177/1532673X00028004004.

Gupta, Akhil, Ferguson, James. 1992 . “ Space, Identity, and the Politics of Difference .” Cultural Anthropology 7 (1): 6 – 24 .

Gutiérrez, David . 1995 . Walls and Mirrors : Mexican Americans, Mexican Immigrants, and the Politics of Ethnicity. Berkeley : University of California Press .

Hainmueller, Jens, Hopkins, Daniel J. 2014 . “ Public Attitudes toward Immigration .” Annual Review of Political Science 17:225–49.

Hamill, Ruth, Lodge, Milton, Blake, Frederick. 1985 . “ The Breadth, Depth, and Utility of Class, Partisan, and Ideological Schemata .” American Journal of Political Science 29 (4): 850–70. doi:10.2307/2111184.

Hanson, Gordon H. 2005 . “ Why Does Immigration Divide America? Public Finance and Political Opposition to Open Borders .” Washington, DC . https://gps.ucsd.edu/_files/faculty/hanson/hanson_publication_immigration_divide.pdf.

Hawley, George . 2011 . “ Political Threat and Immigration: Party Identification, Demographic Context, and Immigration Policy Preference .” Social Science Quarterly 92:404–22.

Heckman, James J. 2005 . “ The Scientific Model of Causality .” Sociological Methodology 35: 1 – 97 .

Henderson, Marlone D., Fujita, Kentaro, Trope, Yaacov, Liberman, Nira. 2006 . “ Transcending the ‘Here’: The Effect of Spatial Distance on Social Judgement .” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 91 (5): 845–56.

Henderson, Marlone D., Wakslak, Cheryl J., Fujita, Kentaro, Rohrbach, John. 2011 . “ Construal Level Theory and Spatial Distance: Implications for Mental Representation, Judgment and Behavior .” Social Psychology 42 (3): 165–73.

Hernández, José Angel . 2012 . Mexican American Colonization during the Nineteenth Century: A History of the U.S.-Mexico Borderlands. New York : Cambridge University Press .

Holland, Paul W. 1986 . “ Statistics and Causal Inference .” Journal of the American Statistical Association 81 (396): 945–60.

Hopkins, Daniel J. 2018 . The Increasingly United States: How and Why American Political Behavior Nationalized. Chicago : Chicago University Press .

Huddy, Leonie, Mason, Lilliana, Aaroe, Lene. 2015 . “ Expressive Partisanship: Campaign Involvement, Political Emotion, and Partisan Identity .” American Political Science Review 109 (1): 1 – 17 .

Johnson, Daniel K. N., Siripong, Nalyn, Brown, Amy S. 2006 . “ The Demise of Distance? The Declining Role of Physical Proximity for Knowledge Transmission .” Growth and Change 37 (1): 19 – 33 .

Jones, Edward E., Davis, Keith E. 1965 . “ From Acts to Dispositions: The Attribution Process in Person Perception .” In Advances in Experimental Social Psychology, edited by Berkowitz, Leonard , Vol. 2, 219–66. New York : Academic Press .

Kearney, Milo, Knopp, Anthony. 1995 . Border Cuates: A History of the U.S.-Mexican Twin Cities. Austin : Eakin Press .

Keith, Bruce E., Magleby, David B., Nelson, Candice J., Orr, Elizabeth A., Westlye, Mark C., Wolfinger, Raymond E. 1992 . The Myth of the Independent Voter. Berkeley : University of California Press .

Knoll, Benjamin R., Redlawsk, David P., Sanborn, Howard. 2011 . “ Framing Labels and Immigration Policy Attitudes in the Iowa Caucuses: ‘Trying to Out-Tancredo Tancredo.’ ” Political Behavior 33 (3): 433–54.

Kuhn, Theresa . 2012 . “ Europa Ante Portas: Border Residence, Transnational Interaction and Euroscepticism in Germany and France .” European Union Politics 13 (1): 94 – 117 .

Kunda, Ziva . 1990 . “ The Case for Motivated Reasoning .” Psychological Bulletin 108 (3): 480–98. doi:10.1037/0033-2909.108.3.480.

Kunda, Ziva, Dunning, David, Jones, Edward, Jussim, Lee, Miller, Dale, Nisbett, Richard, Petty, Richard, Prentice, Deborah. 1990 . “ The Case for Motivated Reasoning .” Psychological Association November 108 (3): 480–98. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/c42a/48940d80e2f8a3e365060496db1868aed093.pdf.

Lebowitz, Lawrence M., Podheiser., Ira L. 2002 . “ A Summary of the Changes in Immigration Policies and Practices after the Terrorist Attacks of September 11, 2001: The USA Patriot Act and Other Measures .” University of Pittsburgh Law Review 63 (41): 873–88.

Lee, Angela Y. 2001 . “ The Mere Exposure Effect: An Uncertainty Reduction Explanation Revisited .” Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 27:1255–66.

Liberman, Nira, Trope, Yaacov. 2008 . “ The Psychology of Transcending the Here and Now .” Science 322:1201–05.

Liberman, Nira, Trope, Yaacov, Stephan, Elena. 2007 . “ Psychological Distance .” In Social Psychology: Handbook of Basic Principles, edited by Kruglanski, Arie W., Higgins, E. Tory, 353–84. New York, NY : Guilford Press .

Lodge, Milton, Hamill, Ruth. 1986 . “ A Partisan Schema for Political Information Processing .” The American Political Science Review 80 (2): 505–20. doi:10.2307/1958271.

Malkki, Liisa H. 1995 . Purity and Exile: Violence, Memory, and National Cosmology among Hutu Refugees in Tanzania. Chicago : Chicago University Press .

March, James, Simon, Herbert. 1993 . Organizations. 2nd ed. Hoboken : Wiley-Blackwell .

Martinez, Oscar J. 1994 . “ The Dynamics of Border Interaction: New Approaches to Border Analysis .” In Global Boundaries: World Boundaries, edited by Schofield, Clive H. , Vol. 1, 1 – 14 . New York : Routledge .

McGraw, Kathleen M. 2003 . “ Political Impressions: Formation and Management .” In Oxford Handbook of Political Psychology, edited by Sears, David O., Huddy, Leonie, Jervis, Robert, 394 – 432 . New York : Oxford University Press .

Mirwaldt, Katja . 2010 . “ Contact, Conflict and Geography: What Factors Shape Cross-Border Citizen Relations .” Political Geography 29:434–43.

Morgan, Stephen L., Winship, Christopher. 2015 . Counterfactuals and Causal Inference: Methods and Principles for Social Research. New York : Cambridge University Press .

Nussbaum, Shiri, Trope, Yaacov, Liberman, Nira. 2003 . “ Creeping Dispositionism: The Temporal Dynamics of Behavior Prediction .” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 84 (3): 485–97.

Paasi, Anssi . 1999 . “ Boundaries as Social Practice and Discourse: The Finnish-Russian Border .” Regional Studies 33 (7): 669–80.

Pearl, Judea . 2000 . Causality: Models, Reasoning, and Inference. New York : Cambridge University Press .

Petrocik, John R. 1974 . “ An Analysis of Intransitivities in the Index of Party Identification .” Political Methodology 1 (3): 31 – 47 . http://www.jstor.org/stable/25791385.

Pettigrew, Thomas F., Tropp, Linda R. 2006 . “ A Meta-Analytic Test of Intergroup Contact Theory .” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 90 (5): 751–83.

Priemus, Hugo, Visser, Johan. 1995 . “ Infrastructure Policy in the Randstad Holland: Struggle between Accessibility and Sustainability .” Political Geography 14 (4): 363–77.

Proshansky, Harold M., Fabian, Abbe K., Kaminoff, Robert. 1983 . “ Place-Identity: Physical World Socialization of the Self .” Journal of Environmental Psychology 3 (1): 57 – 83 .

Rahn, Wendy M. 1993 . “ The Role of Partisan Stereotypes in Information Processing about Political Candidates .” American Journal of Political Science 37 (2): 472–96. doi:10.2307/2111381.

Romo, Harriett, Márquez, Raquel R. 2010 . “ Who’s Who across the U.S.-Mexico Border: Identities in Transition .” In Understanding Life in the Borderlands: Boundaries in Depth and in Motion, edited by Zartman, William , 217–34. Athens : University of Georgia Press .

Rubin, Donald B. 1974 . “ Estimating Causal Effects of Treatments in Randomized and Nonrandomized Studies .” Journal of Educational Psychology 66 (5): 688 – 701 .

Rubin, Donald B. 2005 . “ Causal Inference Using Potential Outcomes .” Journal of the American Statistical Association 100 (469): 322–31.

Scheepers, Peer, Gijsberts, Mèrove, Hello, Evelyn. 2002 . “ Religiosity and Prejudice against Ethnic Minorities in Europe: Cross-National Tests on a Controversial Relationship .” Review of Religious Research 43 (3): 242–65. doi:10.2307/3512331.

Scheve, Kenneth F., Slaughter, Matthew J. 2001 . “ What Determines Individual Trade-Policy Preferences? ” Journal of International Economics 54:267–92.

Schildkraut, Deborah J. 2010 . Americanism in the Twenty-First Century: Public Opinion in the Age of Immigration. New York : Cambridge University Press .

Semin, Gün R., Fiedler, Klaus. 1988 . “ The Cognitive Functions of Linguistic Categories in Describing Persons: Social Cognition and Language .” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 54 (4): 558–68.

Sniderman, Paul M., Hagendoorn, Louk, Prior, Markus. 2004 . “ Predisposing Factors and Situational Triggers: Exclusionary Reactions to Immigrant Minorities .” American Political Science Review 98 (1): 35 – 49 .

Snyder, James M., Ting, Michael M. 2002 . “ An Informational Rationale for Political Parties .” American Journal of Political Science 46 (1): 90 – 110 . doi:10.2307/3088416.

Spencer, Alexander . 2008 . “ Linking Immigrants and Terrorists: The Use of Immigration as an Anti-Terror Policy .” Online Journal of Peace and Conflict Resolution 8 (1): 1 – 24 .

Splawa-Neyman, Jerzy, Dabrowska, D. M., Speed, T. P. 1990 . “ On the Application of Probability Theory to Agricultural Experiments. Essay on Principles. Section 9 .” Statistical Science 5 (4): 465–72.

Storm, Ingrid . 2018 . “ When Does Religiosity Matter for Attitudes to Immigration? The Impact of Economic Insecurity and Religious Norms in Europe .” European Societies 20 (4): 595 – 620 . doi:10.1080/14616696.2017.1402122.

Swofford, Jeffrey, Slattery, Michael. 2010 . “ Public Attitudes of Wind Energy in Texas: Local Communities in Close Proximity to Wind Farms and Their Effect on Decision-Making .” Energy Policy 38:2508–19.

Taber, Charles S., Lodge, Milton. 2006 . “ Motivated Skepticism in the Evaluation of Political Beliefs .” American Journal of Political Science 50 (3): 755–69.

Tadmor, Carmit T., Tetlock, Philip E. 2006 . “ Biculturalism: A Model of the Effects of Second-Culture Exposure on Acculturation and Integrative Complexity .” Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology 37 (2): 173–90.

Thelen, David . 1999 . “ Rethinking History and the Nation-State: Mexico and the United States .” Journal of American History 86 (2): 438–52.

Trope, Yaacov, Liberman, Nira. 2003 . “ Temporal Construal .” Psychological Review 110:403–21.

Trope, Yaacov, Liberman, Nira. 2010 . “ Construal-Level Theory of Psychological Distance .” Psychological Review 117 (2): 440–63.

Van-der-Horst, Dan . 2007 . “ NIMBY or Not? Exploring the Relevance of Location and the Politics of Voiced Opinions in Renewable Energy Siting Controversies .” Energy Policy 35:2705–14.

Wallace, Sophia J., Zepeda-Millán, Chris, Jones-Correa, Michael. 2014 . “ Spatial and Temporal Proximity: Examining the Effects of Protests on Political Attitudes .” American Journal of Political Science 58 (2): 433–48.

Wilder, David A. 1986 . “ Cognitive Factors Affecting the Success of Intergroup Contact .” In Psychology of Intergroup Relations, edited by Worchel, Stephen, Austin, William G, 49 – 66 . Chicago : Nelson-Hall .

Wilson, Christopher E. 2018 . “ Five Myths about the U.S.-Mexico Border .” The Washington Post, May 4 . https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/five-myths/five-myths-about-the-us-mexico-border/2018/05/03/5e8addd0-4e53-11e8-af46-b1d6dc0d9bfe_story.html?utm_term=.f80b62c777ed.

Aquilam on June 15th, 2019 at 18:51 UTC »

Politicians (typically) being voted into office, don’t want to upset constituents by supporting bills that impact their constituents families/friends/businesses....they have a vested interest in “pandering to their audience”.

George-Washingtons on June 15th, 2019 at 18:46 UTC »

I wonder about the wording “along the entire border.”

Most of the news stories from conservative news outlets quote people close to the border, whether that’s law enforcement, public officials, or residents, the majority of whom note the problems with border crossings or the effectiveness of walls that were built in certain areas.

The distinction might be that residents closer to the border believe a wall is not needed along the whole border, on account of geographical barriers, but still support a wall in some or most locations.

The study, then, might be providing a disingenuous conclusion used to make Republicans look bad. Wouldn’t be the first time.

pikkon6 on June 15th, 2019 at 18:42 UTC »

I can't get access to the details on the sample size, methodology, etc. of the study. Can anyone fill me in?