An economist has a wild proposal to give all kids in the US up to $60,000 at birth

Authored by businessinsider.com and submitted by mvea
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Education is often considered the great equalizer, the tonic that will erase all injustice and inequality. As Nelson Mandela once said, "Education is the most powerful weapon which you can use to change the world."

But an economist is calling for a fact-check on the old advice to stay in school and study hard.

Darrick Hamilton, a professor of economics and urban policy at The New School, believes that a good education won't get you very far without some cold hard cash to go along with it.

"Wealth is the paramount indicator of economic security and well-being," Hamilton told a crowd at the TED Conferences headquarters in New York last week, as world leaders were gathering nearby for the United Nations General Assembly.

In the US, Hamilton is advocating a new kind of federal cash-flow pipeline: a wildly ambitious trust-fund scheme that would endow each American baby with a nest egg of cash, retrievable when they reach adulthood. It's essentially like Social Security in reverse; he described it as "an economic birthright to capital for everyone."

"Without capital, inequality is locked in," Hamilton said. "It is time to get beyond the false narrative that attributes inequalities to individual personal deficits while largely ignoring the advantages of wealth."

He said that what's "glaringly missing" from our narrative about success is the role of power and capital in society and how they can be used to "alter the rules and structure of transactions and markets in the first place."

In the US, for example, the top 10% of earners hold about 75% of the wealth in the country, and the wealth gap disproportionately affects people of color, like Hamilton.

That inequality trickles down from one generation to the next. Today, race is the single greatest predictor of a child's economic opportunity in the US. And as the economy's gains in recent years have gone straight to the richest among us, the average American worker's wages have stagnated.

Hamilton thinks that adding cash to the equation could help push society into fairer territory so the American dream is more accessible for everyone.

The cash could finance things like a private education, a decent healthcare safety net (healthcare costs are among the leading causes of bankruptcy in the US), and a home in a good neighborhood.

Hamilton said that under his plan, the average endowment would be about $25,000 per kid, rising to $60,000 for the poorest children in America. Those born into the wealthiest tax brackets would not be excluded from the trust-fund scheme, and every child in the US would get at least $500.

The money would be set aside in federally managed coffers, growing at about 2% a year (to adjust for inflation) until a kid reaches adulthood. At that point, they'd decide what kinds of "asset-enhancing activity" they want to invest in for themselves, whether it's higher education, a new home, or their own business.

The baby-trust-fund idea is not a full-blown proposal at this point, and even Hamilton acknowledged that there were "many details" to be worked out.

But at its essence, it's designed to be a social safety net that could allow more Americans to take financial risks to reach for their dreams without worrying they might go broke in the process. President Donald Trump certainly benefitted from that kind of system — a New York Times investigation published Tuesday found that he was a millionaire at age 8.

Whether Hamilton's idea is the best way to combat income inequality is up for debate. A 2008 report from the National Bureau of Economic Research argued that the single greatest cause of rising income inequality in the US was CEO pay that was rising at a breakneck pace not in line with the rest of the economy. Others have suggested that closing tax loopholes for the rich or even providing a guaranteed minimum income could help correct the problem.

The cost of Hamilton's proposal is estimated to be about $100 billion a year — "far less than the $500-plus billion that's already being spent by the federal government on asset promotion through tax credits and subsidies," he said.

BaluePeach on October 3rd, 2018 at 17:31 UTC »

They are doing such a good job in holding my Social Security Payments for when I need them. I say we trust them. Nothing could go wrong or be pilfered.

seventhuncle on October 3rd, 2018 at 15:23 UTC »

What do they plan to invest this fund in?

Stocks, even in index funds, are generally considered too risky for this type of investment.

Commercial paper, munis and foreign sovereign debt are also generally considered too risky.

That really only leaves treasuries.

If that's the case then the US govt would be setting aside some money out of it's annual budget (about 3.8 million births * $60k = $228billion), lending that money to itself and then hoping that the budget 18 years later is enough to cover those debt payments so that it can pay itself back and have the money (around $326 billion) available to the new adults.

What advantage does a system like this have over UBI or a 2-way taxation system like Friedman advocates?

multi-edit:

Thanks to /u/Mrgod2u82 for pointing out a math error. The future value of the the first year of funds has been updated. Several people have pointed out that index funds are not generally considered risky on an 18 year time horizon. This is true but I would direct you to https://www.ssa.gov/oact/progdata/fundFAQ.html The Social Security Trust Fund is the fund that would be closest to this fund in character and they are restricted to investing in US government debt. As low risk as index funds are, US debt is less risky, that's why you don't get as much interest. It's not clear to me if that 2% are supposed to be pre or post tax so I ignored it in my post. Either way it wouldn't affect the problem that the government would be extending itself an 18 year loan and expecting to pay itself interest so this program would amount to just a promise of future payment. Several people have argued that CDs are safe. This is kind of true. CDs have defaulted and people have lost money on them when their investments exceeded the $250k limit. Treasuries have never defaulted. Also consider what would happen; if the bank defaults on a CD owned by the government then the insurance on those CDs is coming from the same entity that's trying to collect a debt payment.

Dawgsquad00 on October 3rd, 2018 at 15:23 UTC »

At 2% growth with average inflation of 3% in the US, Your $60,000 would have the buying power on $49,200 on your 18th birthday. Invest smarter than that. Beat inflation at the least.