New poll finds Bredesen with narrow lead over Blackburn in US Senate race

Authored by tennessean.com and submitted by wenchette
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CLOSE Former Gov. Phil Bredesen officially launched his bid for U.S. Senate Thursday, announcing his run with an online video. Video from Bredesen for Senate

Buy Photo Former Gov. Phil Bredesen and U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn (Photo: The Tennessean)Buy Photo

Former Gov. Phil Bredesen has a slight edge over U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn in a new poll on the U.S. Senate race from a Democratic-leaning firm.

The poll, conducted by North Carolina-based Public Policy Polling, surveyed the views of Tennessee registered voters on the U.S. Senate race, approval of President Donald Trump and health care.

CLOSE Marsha Blackburn addressed the Williamson County Republican Party's annual Reagan Day dinner as she campaigns for the U.S. Senate seat currently held by Bob Corker. George Walker IV / The Tennessean

Forty-six percent of the survey’s respondents said they would vote for Bredesen compared to 41 percent for Blackburn if the election were immediately held.

Thirteen percent of respondents said they were not sure.

The poll, which surveyed roughly 1,000 Tennesseans, had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

► More: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee poll: Bredesen has more support than Blackburn

The latest polling, conducted March 15-16, falls in line with a survey the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee conducted prior to Bredesen’s entrance in the race.

That survey had the same exact numbers as Public Policy Polling, despite coming nearly five months earlier.

Several Republican-aligned polls have indicated a similarly tight race in a showdown between Blackburn and Bredesen. Some polls have shown Blackburn would beat Bredesen.

► More: Poll: Marsha Blackburn holds major lead among GOP voters in matchup against Bob Corker

► More: Blackburn would beat Bredesen in head-to-head matchup, according to poll from Trump-aligned PAC

Bredesen’s slight lead in the latest survey over Blackburn comes despite just 33 percent of respondents saying they were Democrats while 43 percent identified as a Republicans. Twenty-three percent identified as independent or other.

Beyond the U.S. Senate race, the survey found 54 percent of those surveyed approved of Trump’s job performance, while 42 percent had a negative view. Just 4 percent said they were not sure.

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When respondents were also asked to weigh in on the Affordable Care Act, respondents indicated they supported keeping the current law in place over repealing it.

Forty-nine percent of respondents favored keeping the law while 42 percent would like to see it repealed. Nine percent said they were not sure.

Similarly, 47 percent of those surveyed said they disapproved of repeal efforts compared to 37 percent who approved.

When asked if they thought Trump and Republicans in Congress were trying to undermine the health care law, respondents were split. Forty-one percent said they thought Trump and the GOP were working to undermine the law, while 42 percent said the contrary.

Overall, 41 percent of respondents said health care was a “very important issue” in the midterm election, with another 31 percent saying it is the most important topic. Six percent said the issue was not important.

In terms of respondents, 53 percent were women and 83 percent were white while African-Americans made up 14 percent.

The poll was paid for by Protect My Care.

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Reach Joel Ebert at [email protected] or 615-772-1681 and on Twitter @joelebert29.

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Paislylaisly on March 21st, 2018 at 12:54 UTC »

Tennesseans love Phil bredesen. Even the republicans (which is most of TN by far).

orangecrushucf on March 21st, 2018 at 12:53 UTC »

I'm donating to Bredesen. Marsha Blackburn is in the pocket of the big telecoms and cable companies. She ALWAYS does AT&T, Comcast & Charter's bidding. She needs to go.

spectre6691 on March 21st, 2018 at 12:21 UTC »

According to Cook political report Tennessee has a partisan lean of +14R. So that means if there is enough of a Democratic advantage its more than possible. When you start accounting for how popular Phil Bredesen is and how many Republicans may not vote due to dissatisfaction it becomes even more likely. We just need to make it to November everyone.